Future of Everything pdf snb 115盘 kindle 在线 下载 pmlz mobi

　　For centuries, scientists have strived to predict the future.

But to what extent have they succeeded? Can past events-Hurricane

Katrina, the Internet stock bubble, the SARS outbreak-help us

understand what will happen next? Will scientists ever really be

able to forecast catastrophes, or will we always be at the mercy of

Mother Nature, waiting for the next storm, epidemic, or economic

crash to thunder through our lives? In The Future of Everything,

David Orrell looks back at the history of forecasting, from the

time of the oracle at Delphi to the rise of astrology to the advent

of the TV weather report, showing us how scientists (and some

charlatans) predicted the future. How can todays scientists claim

to anticipate future weather events when even thee-day forecasts

prove a serious challenge? How can we predict and control

epidemics? Can we accurately foresee our financial future? Or will

we only find out about tomorrow when tomorrow arrives?

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　　David Orrell, Ph.D., received his doctorate in mathematics

from the University of Oxford. His work in the prediction of

complex systems has been featured in New Scientist and the

Financial Times, and on BBC Radio, ABC Radio (Australia), and NPR.

He now conducts research in the area of systems biology.

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书籍介绍

In the spirit of Freakonomics and A Short History of Progress , The Future of Everything is a compelling, elegantly written history of our future. For centuries, scientists have strived to predict the future. But to what extent have they succeeded? Can past events--Hurricane Katrina, the Internet stock bubble, the SARS outbreak--help us understand what will happen next? Will scientists ever really be able to forecast catastrophes, or will we always be at the mercy of Mother Nature, waiting for the next storm, epidemic, or economic crash to thunder through our lives? In The Future of Everything , David Orrell looks back at the history of forecasting, from the time of the oracle at Delphi to the rise of astrology to the advent of the TV weather report, showing us how scientists (and some charlatans) predicted the future. How can today's scientists claim to anticipate future weather events when even thee-day forecasts prove a serious challenge? How can we predict and control epidemics? Can we accurately foresee our financial future? Or will we only find out about tomorrow when tomorrow arrives?